A small group of traders may be driving prediction markets, but an even smaller group is taking most of the money.
A new report from blockchain analytics firm Solidus Labs finds that profit concentration on Polymarket is extreme, with fewer than 1% of wallets capturing roughly half of all gains in key markets.
Across Polymarket’s politics markets between December 2025 and February 2026, just 0.55% of profitable maker wallets captured 50% of gains, the report finds, while 0.26% of winning taker wallets accounted for nearly the same share. In dollar terms, roughly $8 million of about $16 million in profits accrued to each of those tiny cohorts.
Source: A tiny group is winning on Polymarket as under 1% of wallets take half the profits